Evaluating the Effect of Household Level Income Inequality on State Level Voter Turnout in the 2012 and 2016 Presidential Elections
This study examines the link between income inequality and state-level voter turnout in the United States and proposes that as income inequality increases, voter turnout decreases, as explained by relative power theory. To test this hypothesis, I conduct a state year linear regression analysis between US Census Bureau’s Gini Ratios and voter turnout of the voting-eligible population in the 2012 and 2016 Presidential Elections, utilizing white percentage, age 55+, urban population percentage, poverty rate, median income, voter ID laws, and swing-state status as control variables. This paper fails to find evidence to support its research hypothesis, nor any other major theory proposing a relationship between income inequality and voter turnout. It proposes that for further research there must be a measure of income inequality after taxes and transfers.
Keywords: Income Inequality, Voter Turnout, Relative Power Theory
Topic(s):Political Science
Economics
Presentation Type: Oral Presentation
Session: 303-4
Location: SUB GEO B
Time: 2:00